Friday, June 28, 2013

6/28 Strategy for SFL Leagues

Something new for a change. SFL is running daily freerolls and I thought it would be fun to put together a recommended lineup before the contest kicks off.

C- Victor Martinez ($4,782). Slugging over .400 this month, starting to find his power stroke. Colome may throw gas but his command is rough. He's going to serve a few meatballs right over the plate. I like V-Mart to punish at least one of them.

1B- Lance Berkman ($4,882). Owns a 1.027 OPS in 29 career AB against Cueto. Can't argue against history that well established, especially at this price tag.

2B- Rickie Weeks ($4,889). Over the last 7 days Weeks is sporting a line of .444/.524/.944. He's hitting the cover off the ball right now. Ride him while he's hot.

3B- Juan Francisco ($3,622). Like his teammate above, Francisco is dialed in at the plate. He's gone deep in 3 straight games. Facing off against a RHP in Cole tonight, has always displayed great power against righties.

SS- Brandon Crawford ($5,228). Owns a 1.069 OPS in 16 career AB against Chacin. Playing in Coors Field is always nice too.

OF- Carlos Beltran ($8,710). Owns a 1.074 OPS in 41 career AB against Colon. Nobody has a better track record against their opposing pitcher for today’s slate of games.

OF- Jose Bautista ($9,725). Slugging .621 in 35 games at Fenway Park. Facing off against a RHP in Webster tonight, he definitely excels more against righties.

OF- Giancarlo Stanton ($9,761). It's a small sample size but Stanton is batting .400 with a HR in 5 career AB against Volquez. When Volquez leaves PETCO Field he turns into an absolute train wreck and that's good news for Stanton.

U- Gregor Blanco ($5,422). 2-6 in his career against Chacin. Batting .311 against RHP this season and has the luxury of playing in Coors Field.

SP- Matt Harvey ($16,445). The Nationals have the 2nd worst offense in baseball. Harvey has the 2nd lowest ERA in baseball. The math here is easy.

SP- Hisashi Iwakuma ($16,683). Iwakuma loves the spacious confines of SAFECO field. A 1.46 ERA and 0.61 WHIP at home. Pitching in Seattle against the soft hitting Cubbies is a good recipe for success.

RP- Joaquin Benoit ($1,588). The new closer for the Tigers hasn't recorded a save since Leyland gave him the job. With Scherzer on the mound tonight I like his chances. He's only thrown 3.2 innings since 6/16, likely to get some work regardless of a save opportunity.

P- Gerrit Cole ($8,115). I know I have 2 Brewers in my starting lineup, but this is great value and a good matchup. He's shown pinpoint control and fantastic stuff since getting called up. His K rate is criminally low with the pedigree he has. He's due to generate some strikeouts.

Thursday, June 6, 2013

Gausman, Heyward, and Davis

Kevin Gausman arrived to “the show” with a lot of hype and failed to deliver during his first two starts. Owners kicked him to the curb, narrowly missing out on his first fine performance against the Tigers. So what can we make of the talented rookie going forward?
The kid only has three major league starts and 61 innings in the minors (none above AAA), not much data to draw strong conclusions from yet. Nonetheless he’s here, so we have to go on what we have. What we do have is exactly what the scouting reports gushed about. A fastball that sits in the mid 90’s and tops out at 99 mph. Strong command over all of his pitches, pounding the strike zone and getting ahead in the count. You would think that was a perfect recipe for success!