Friday, May 17, 2013

Buy Low/Sell High- Lance Lynn, Victor Martinez, Carlos Gomez


Lance Lynn is off to another hot start this season, but just like last year it wasn't meant to last. Another correction is coming soon. He just can't sustain success throwing the fastball 70% of the time. Gio Gonzalez, Clayton Kershaw, and David Price are the only 3 pitchers from 2010-2012 to post gaudy stats throwing the heat over 70% of the time. No disrespect to Lynn, but he's just not on the same level as those guys. Sell high.


V-Mart hasn't returned from his injury as many had hoped, but those who remain patient will soon be rewarded. He's nothing but a victim of a poor BABIP. He's walking and striking out at a rate that we're used to seeing, he continues to spray the ball all over the field, and he's hitting the ball with authority. Some suggest he's nursing an injury, but his batted ball distance on fly balls + HR is up 13 feet from his 2011 batted ball data. That suggests otherwise. Buy low.



A great finish last year and he's off to a superb start this year. Always been well regarded by scouts and his breakout has people thinking he was just a late bloomer. I happen to think he's just in the middle of the greatest stretch of his career. His plate discipline remains abysmal and his batted ball distance on fly balls plus HR is down 10 feet from last season. An absurd .423 BABIP is fueling his performance. Sell high.

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